Philadelphia Flyers
Three Bold Predictions for Flyers
Let’s have a little fun and think outside the box regarding the Philadelphia Flyers.
We know what we know about the Flyers: rebuilding, trying to work younger players into the lineup, need to strengthen the defense, need more offense.
Let’s take a look at what we don’t know, but what we think might happen. We present three bold predictions for the Flyers for 2023-24.
1. Carter Hart Will Be Dealt at Trade Deadline
Something’s happening with the Flyers’ goaltending situation. Besides Hart, they have Cal Petersen, Felix Sandstrom and Sam Ersson.
Petersen is a journeyman NHL goaltender. Ersson showed in his brief stint last season that he has the potential to play in the NHL.
The Flyers signed Ersson to a two-year deal earlier this month. He was 6-3 in the 10 games he started. He had a 3.07 goals-against average.
Sandstrom was 3-12-3 with a 3.72 goals-against average last season. Petersen is a career 44-42-10 with a 3.90 goals-against.
The Flyers have two goalies in Russia who experts believe are legitimate goaltenders. Ivan Fedotov is described as the best goalie in the world who is not playing in the NHL. Philadelphia just won the IIHF dispute over Fedotov’s contract and he could return within two weeks to the Flyers.
The Flyers signed Alexei Kolosov, 21, to a three-year, entry-level contract over the summer. He is on a one-year loan to Dinamo Minsk. The word on the 2021 third-round draft pick is that he is NHL-worthy.
More Goalies
Philadelphia drafted two goalies in this year’s draft. Carson Bjarnason was the highest-rated North American goalie by NHL Central Scouting. Egor Zavragin is yet another Russian goalie the Flyers drafted in June.
This is what I think happens. Unless the Flyers play lights out and are seriously in a playoff hunt, they will make the most of their greatest asset — Carter Hart — at the trade deadline.
Hart’s future with the Flyers has been in question since general manager Daniel Briere said he would listen to trade scenarios on any player.
My stance then, and now, is to build around Hart. Improve the defense in front of him and as the team improves, so does the Flyers’ franchise goalie.
As February turns into March, if the Flyers are 10 points out of the playoffs, they are going to open the phone lines. They are going to see what they can get for Hart. They are going to find out which playoff team believes Hart is the guy who can facilitate a long playoff run. Or which team close to making the playoffs wants a goalie upgrade.
Bank on it. March 9, 2024, is the trading deadline. Expect more draft picks and a prospect or two for Hart. I would guess Ersson replaces Hart as the Flyers’ No. 1 goaltender.
2. Some Surprises Coming Out of Training Camp
There will be some shake-ups coming out of camp. Guys you expected to make the opening night roster will not make the opening night roster. This is not a 100-point team with nearly all positions locked in. This is a 75-point team that should thirst for change.
Change will be made among the forwards and defense. The Flyers’ defense is veteran-laden and it makes little sense to start the season with all of them. Give the kids a legitimate opportunity — even if there might be some growing pains along the way.
Emil Andrae, Egor Zamula and Ronnie Attard probably can get plenty of ice time and play dominating hockey in the AHL. That’s great for the Phantoms, maybe not so great for their development. If they can handle the NHL’s speed and talent, let them start with the big club.
Among the forwards, I expect two prospect types to start the season in Philly. That’s not “bold.” That’s more like “necessary.” Tyson Foerster should be one of the prospects. There should be another one, too.
3. Flyers Will Be Better Than You Think
Expectations are low. Media outlets and sportsbooks aren’t counting on much from the Flyers.
The players, coaches and management have higher expectations. But 82 games show plenty about your team and expose weaknesses.
Philadelphia doesn’t have a roster as talented as others. That’s understood. The Flyers need many things to happen, to break the right way, to be relatively healthy, for a season that exceeds expectations.
I think the Flyers are going to rely on strong leadership to keep the locker room intact and focused. That starts with coach John Tortorella. That starts with Marc Staal, the newly acquired defenseman. And continues with Scott Laughton, coming off a leadership position with gold medal-winning Canada in the World Championships.
Does “better than you think” mean the playoffs for the Flyers? No. But you’re going to see a more disciplined team, fighting for points in most games.
The Flyers finished with 75 points last season. I’ll predict, boldly, a 10-point improvement.
Nice article, Chuck. I’m with you – I’d like the Flyers to keep Hart, but there are quite a few ‘tenders in the pipeline. No one knows if any are/will be as good as Hart, but it might be a chance they have to take (trading Hart). The Flyers also run the risk of “burning Hart out” like Anaheim has done to John Gibson – i.e. playing behind a less talented team for years. The Flyers defense as it stands could arguably be said to be the worst in the NHL this season. I hope I’m wrong, but… I did like the addition of Staal even though it could at least temporarily block one of the youngsters for a bit. He will add a good vet/calming presence on the blueline and will give you good effort. He had a nice playoff run with Florida. One or all of Walker, Staal, and Seeler will be gone for picks before the year is over.
I’m hopeful for Andrae even though he is a smaller defenseman. Keeping fingers crossed he could be a Spurgeon or Timmonen. I’m also anxious to see if Foerster can make the team and if Frost can take another step forward. And it’s like the Flyers picked up 2 talented free agents with Couturier and Atkinson back, assuming they can regain some of their form and stay healthy.
I originally thought that Hart and Ersson would start for the Flyers while Sandstrom and Petersen can play for the Phantoms.
The wild card is now Fedotov. Will he be available to play right away or will he have to wait until January 1. It’s kind of murky as to whether the suspension is applicable to the NHL. The IIHL might have said that his contract officially starts on January 1st. If he can play right away it might be better for him to start with the Phantoms to get acclimated to the North American game with the smaller ice surface. Either way, with him coming over expedites the fact that Hart can now be traded. Buffalo, Toronto, Montreal are three teams that could be interested. Whoever offers the most outside of our division is where I’d trade him.
Based on things I’ve read, it seems that the suspension applies to IIHF play only, not the NHL. However, will the KHL accept the ruling? I would be cautious about trading Hart unless we are certain one of the others or prospects is as good.
Right about Fedotov. If he comes to North America, apparently, he is good enough to play in the NHL. Sure he will be rusty after sitting out a season but if you have talent, you have talent.
Funny how the Flyers are bulging at the seams with goalies these days.
Thanks for your comments.
CB
I say they will hit 90 points if healthy and no more trades.
Interesting … If Couturier and Atkinson return to health and some of the young forwards continue to progress, the season will be fun to watch.
Thanks for your comments.
CB
I agree they will be better than many people are predicting. Especially if Atkinson and Couturier return to play well, I think young forwards like Konecny, Foerster, Farabee, Frost, and Tippett will continue to develop and that should advance the team, even with the concern about the defense. If they can finish above .500, I ‘ll take that as good progress. I’ll say 37-33-12.
Good points by everyone here. Thanks for your comments. The IIHF ruling is vague and apparently, the Russians aren’t happy with it
Again, really good points.
CB
We have been looking for a number 1 goalie soooo long that I don’t want to get rid of him regardless of how many NHL ready goalies we have in the pipeline. We all seen how Fletcher took a top 5 rated prospect pool and destroyed it buy not developing it so does anyone else here want another 30 plus year game of Russian roulette with our goaltending? I can’t watch Hacket, Vanbiesbrook, Leighton, checkmanek, Sean Burke 3x, Bobby esche, Boosh (idk how many times), Martin Jones or Alex lyon and the rest that’s come thru since I started watched in 86-87, can you?
Totally agree. We finally have a very good goalie and now we’re talking about trading him! We haven’t yet seen a decent sample of Ersson, Fedotov, Sandstrom, etc. to move Hart. By the way, don’t forget Tommy Soderstrom.
I think Hart to the Kings would be great deal for both teams. Also leaving young players in the AHL IS developing them. Putting them in the fire in the nhl hurts them. Some need more minutes in AHL which is a development league not the NHL.
Early in the offseason, I didn’t think the Flyers would trade Carter Hart. Now, I’m not so sure. He is a known commodity and would bring back assets — more than the other goalies in the system.
I’m sure they’re hoping someone grabs the back-up job and another one or two takes the Phantoms job and runs with it. I agree with your assessment of the AHL, although the goalies are playing in front of less experience defenseman and forwards (theoretically). Someone at Development Camp said, correctly, that the AHL is the second-best league in the world.
If a couple of the Flyers’ goalies sparkle in training camp and as the season begins, that’s when it will get real interesting around here.
Thanks for your comments.
CB